The Odds Factory

TomBox Sports Betting Algorithm MLB Picks For Sunday 4/11/2021

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After a 2-1 Opening Day for TomBox on Friday, we’re excited to introduce something called the Sunday Night Showcase. Our smart, sexy TomBox AI algorithm simulated tonight’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves more than 10,000 times and came up with what’s likely gonna happen tonight. So let’s get this weekend bread!

Moneyline Pick

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves: Atlanta ML (-160)

As with most of these games, it comes down to starting pitching. And the TomBox algorithm trusts Braves starter, Drew Smyly. He has a 31% chance of recording a quality start, to Phillies hurler Matt Moore’s 17% quality start chance. So that’s enough for us to project Atlanta with a 62.4% chance of winning at home.

Spread Pick

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves: Philadelphia +1.5 (-130)

The TomBox algorithm gives this game just a 39.8% chance of one team earning a big win coupled with a 47.3% chance that there’s a close margin here. Led by Ronald Acuña’s 3.26 hits, walks, and RBI, we’re projecting a 5.7-4.9 win for Atlanta. That’s enough for the Phillies to cover and make your Sunday night viewing experience an enjoyable one.

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Over/Under Pick

Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves: Over 9 Runs (-117)

With more than 10 runs projected in this one and low probabilities for quality starts for each pitcher, expect a good offensive battle, with stars like Acuña and Bryce Harper shining on the national stage. And while they’re out on the field doing their thing, the TomBox algorithm will be doing its thing and winning you big money.

You can check out more of the TomBox algorithm’s predictions about this game as well as other baseball games in our MLB picks section. And make sure to follow us on Twitter @theoddsfactory, Instagram @theoddsfactory, and our Facebook page The Odds Factory.

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