TomBox MLB Season Record: 7-5
After a tough start to the season, the TomBox algorithm bounced back in a big way last night, with a perfect 3-0 record. With a full, 12-hour slate of Saturday MLB games and doubleheaders, that means even more chances for you to make money with our favorite computer-generated betting algorithm. As always, the TomBox algorithm has simulated each contest 10,000 times, so we have a pretty good idea of what’s likely going to happen. Let’s get to the picks!
Best Moneyline Pick
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox: Boston ML (-125)
In this battle of the Soxes, the TomBox algorithm is giving the edge to Boston. We give them an over 60% chance of winning this afternoon’s game. The key to this game will be the pitching duel between Boston’s Nick Pivetta and Chicago’s Dylan Cease. The TomBox algorithm is giving Pivetta a 46% chance of having a quality start. And if he does, then the Red Sox will win at an 88% rate.
At these odds, you’d be silly not to throw a unit or two on the Red Sox today.
Best Spread Pick
Detroit Tigers @ Oakland Athletics: Detroit +1.5 (-170)
Saturday afternoon’s matchup is basically looking to be a steal for bettors looking to wager on the spread. The TomBox algorithm is essentially projecting this one as dead even. Much will ride on Detroit’s starter, Casey Mize, who has a 49% chance of a quality start, which would give the Tigers a 70% chance of winning. Meanwhile, on the offensive side, look out for Detroit’s Brandon Dixon. He averaged 2+ hits, walks, and RBIs in 10,000 simulations and could certainly be primed for a big game.
Best Over/Under Pick
Cleveland Indians @ Cincinnati Reds: Over 8 Runs (-115)
Finally, our friend TomBox is projecting runs galore in this matchup between the Cleveland Indians and Cincinnati Reds, with the over hitting at an 83% rate across simulations, and the projected final score is at a clean 16 total runs. Look for the bats of both sides to come alive. César Hernández will lead the way for Cleveland (75% chance of a big game with 3+ hits, walks, and RBIs). And Tyler Naquin will do the mashing for Cincinnati (65% chance of a big game). On top of that, both pitchers have a less than 10% chance of a quality starter (Sonny Gray for Cincinnati and Triston McKenzie for Cleveland), so hammer this over and laugh your way to the bank.
