The baseball season is in full swing, but it’s not officially official until the first MLB TomBox column of 2021. Lucky for you, the wait is over!
The same great simulations you’ve grown to know and love for the NFL, NBA, NHL, and college sports are here for MLB. And when you rely on TomBox’s AI algorithm to simulate each game thousands of times, you know you’re gonna get positive, profitable results.
Best Moneyline Pick
San Diego Padres @ Texas Rangers: San Diego ML (-190)
If you’ve heard of Kohei Arihara, you either know way too much about baseball or you’re lying. He’s Texas’ starter tonight against a potent Padres offense that ranks 5th in the National League in runs scored. Arihara has just a 17% chance of throwing a quality start, as opposed to Jake Musgrove having a 48% chance. With a projected 6.6-4.1 win, the Padres have a 70.9% chance of scoring the ML victory.
Best Spread Pick
Los Angeles Angels @ Toronto Blue Jays: Toronto +1.5 (-140)
T.J. Zeuch may not be a household name, but Toronto’s starter is expected to outperform LA hurler Andrew Heaney, winning in quality start odds 30%-24%. Despite Mike Trout averaging 3.5 hits, walks, and RBIs, we project the Blue Jays to win a high-scoring 6.5-6 affair at home. The TomBox algorithm gives the cover a 56.4% chance.
Best Over/Under Pick
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves: Over 7.5 Runs (-115)
The TomBox algorithm is anticipating a close, well-pitched game, which is what you wanna see from NL East rivals. Zack Wheeler has a 39% chance at a quality start to 37% for Charlie Morton. But with both Ronald Acuña and Bryce Harper expected to have strong performances, a 5.1-4.3 projected win for the Philadelphia Phillies against the Atlanta Braves will push this comfortably above the line to gain. The TomBox algorithm gives the over a 58.7% chance.
