MLB Season Record: 14-11
With 30 games under our belt in this MLB season, we’re starting to get a clearer picture of how the baseball season is playing out and who the true contenders are. And more games mean more data points for our pal TomBox, the AI betting algorithm that simulates each game 10,000 times. We’ve started off the season hot with TomBox best bets. And we’re looking to continue that streak and help you beat your bookie tonight with more can’t-miss picks.
Top Moneyline Pick
Texas Rangers @ Minnesota Twins: Minnesota ML (-157)
The Twins have struggled a bit out of the gate (currently sporting an 11-16 record). But the TomBox algorithm is giving the Minnesota Twins a 60% chance of victory tonight against the Texas Rangers, who’ve had their own issues (13-17). The key to Minnesota’s chances tonight will be starter J.A. Happ, who’s forecasted with 52% certainty to have a quality start, compared to Texas starter Kyle Gibson (just 33% chance). If Happ comes through with the QS, then the Twins’ winning percentage balloons to 71%. Bet on Happs tonight and take the Twins to win straight up.
Top Spread Pick
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins: Arizona +1.5 (-170)
Not only are the Diamondbacks expected to cover 1.5 runs, but they’re also predicted to win the game outright tonight, with a projected final score of 4.7-4.3. With such a low scoring output, the onus will certainly fall on Diamondbacks starter Riley Smith, as the Diamondbacks win in 71% of his quality starts. Look for infielder Ketel Marte to have a big game on the offensive side for the Diamondbacks – he has a 47% chance of going for 3+ hits, walks, and RBIs, and if he does so, then Arizona has a 61% chance of winning.
Top Over/Under Pick
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Chicago Cubs: Over 5.5 Runs (-127)
Runs, runs, runs for this game, with a projected 9 total runs scored in tonight’s matchup. Trevor Bauer is facing off against Keegan Thompson. And both starting pitchers have a low chance of a quality start (less than 40% for each). Expect big nights out of the star bats for both sides, with Kris Bryant projected to have a big game for Chicago (3+ hits, walks, RBIs) and Cody Bellinger and Justin Turner primed for big games as well.
