The start of May means that the NBA regular season is wrapping up, with just two weeks left of games scheduled before the play-in tournaments. Luckily, we still have a chance to make money before the playoffs start. And our pal TomBox, the AI betting algorithm that simulates each game 10,000 times, is here to help you beat your bookie today with more can’t-miss picks.
Top Moneyline Pick
Detroit Pistons @ Charlotte Hornets: Charlotte ML (-320)
The Charlotte Hornets are heavy 81% favorites tonight against the hapless Detroit Pistons. The Hornets are expected to win big, with a predicted 12-point margin of victory. Expect Terry Rozier and Devonte’ Graham to carry the offense, with a projected 37 combined points between the two Hornets stars. Meanwhile, the defense should come to play in a big way for Charlotte, holding the Pistons to a projected 44% shooting night.
Top Spread Pick
Golden State Warriors @ Houston Rockets: Houston +8.5 (-110)
The Warriors and Steph Curry have been on an absolute roll lately. But 8.5 is a lot of points to be giving, even against a bottom feeder like Houston. The Rockets snapped a four-game losing streak on Thursday night. They knocked off the Bucks 143-136 as Kevin Porter Jr. snapped and went off for 50 points. The TomBox algorithm is predicting he’ll come back down to earth tonight (15 projected points). But look for John Wall (18 points) and Christian Wood (19.4) to lead the offensive charge and keep this one tight. Golden State is still projected to win with 56% certainty thanks to Steph’s projected 32, 5, and 5 night. But bet on the Rockets keeping it within 3 to 4.
Top Over/Under Pick
Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic: Over 221 (+112)
We heavily favor The Grizzlies are heavily favored in this game (78% certainty). But expect a lot of points, as the projected total is currently sitting at 228. We expect the Grizzlies to shoot 52% from the field. Three players should be scoring 20+ points – Morant (24.6 points), Brooks (21.6), and Valančiūnas (20.6) – and bombing 11+ three-pointers. While the Magic should lose this game, they’ll at least bring some firepower with Gary Harris (18.3 points), Cole Anthony (17.5 points), and Wendell Carter (16.2 points) carrying the scoring load. Hammer the over here.
