Well, friends, the Super Bowl is just days away. After an unprecedented season full of uncertainty and rescheduling, we have reached the finish line. Some people like their bets like they like their strippers - exotic and COVID-19 free. Those people are in luck because the Super Bowl provides the opportunity to bet on all kinds of crazy prop bets. If you are one of those people, check out my novelty props article, and don’t forget to swing by Dwayne Haskins’ crib before you head out – I heard he’s very fond of strip clubs. If you’re more of a basic bitch and are more comfortable with traditional player prop bets and game lines for the Super Bowl, stay tuned. I have a couple of plays that will provide you with the cash to make it rain with the best of them.
Super Bowl Preview
Super Bowl LV is setting up to be a Sunday like no other. For the first time ever, one of the teams playing is doing so in their home stadium. This doesn’t mean they have an advantage though. Due to COVID-19 protocols, the crowd will be reduced to 22,000. The NFL also announced they will not be firing any of the cannons you would otherwise expect to see during a regular-season Bucs game. The question on every bettor’s mind – do you back Brady or Mahomes?
Kansas City Chiefs -3 (-115)
Don’t overthink it and take the Chiefs. Sure, Brady is the G.O.A.T. and has won six rings, but he won’t receive his seventh on Sunday. Taking a look at these teams, it’s obvious how well they match up. Both have great quarterbacks, a strong running game, and a plethora of receivers. So why am I all in on Mahomes? He is the X-factor. Everything is pointing to this being a battle throughout. The game is going to be decided by a few plays. While Brady is one of the best QBs that we will ever see play, he’s one-dimensional. He can’t extend plays like Mahomes can.
You might be wondering why I wouldn’t take the Chiefs moneyline at -162. It’s safer, right? Sure, but only six teams in history have won the Super Bowl while not also covering the spread. More recently, the spread hasn’t mattered in the last 11 Super Bowls. Either the favorite covered or the dogs won outright. There’s not much value when considering those trends for Super Bowl bets. I’m also cheap, and I refuse to wager on anything over -125.
Another reason why I like Kansas City is because of what they showed in week 12, the first time facing this Buccaneers team. The connection between Mahomes and Tyreek was simply magical going into halftime. It’s surprising they only won by a field goal. I think they actually let up and allowed Brady to keep it close. That won’t be the case Sunday – expect the Chiefs to win handily.
Gronk Over 2.5 Receptions (-110)
Whenever I hear Gronk speak, I imagine his last two brain cells rubbing together, working desperately to form a coherent sentence. He has had one hell of a career and has taken a beating while doing so. He hasn’t been much of a factor in the receiving game after coming out of retirement though. In the last 5 games, he hasn’t had more than two receptions. Despite this, he is going to have a decent Super Bowl. This is going to be a slobber knocker of a game, and Brady is going to look Gronk’s way as a security blanket – like he’s done in the previous six Super Bowls playing together.
Looking at the last time Gronk played the Chiefs, he balled out with six receptions for 106 yards. This is the only time all season that he even came close to the hundred-yard mark. The Chiefs are going to have their hands full trying to contain Godwin, Evans, Antonio Brown, and Ronald Jones. I would be shocked If Gronk doesn’t sneak in three catches while the team airs it out, trying to match points with the Chiefs. I am going to Gronk spike this line for a max bet. This could very well be the last game he plays, and it’s the damn Super Bowl. He will be involved early and often.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Over 48.5 Combined Rushing and Receiving Yards (-124)
Before picking up an injury that has limited him during the final stretch of the season, this rookie was on an absolute tear. He has reached at least 50 yards combined rushing and receiving in 10 out of the 15 games he started. He’s a threat in the rushing and passing game and will send Darrel Williams back to a handcuff role where he belongs. While Williams has done a respectable job filling his shoes, he’s not nearly as good a football player as CEH. As long as he’s healthy enough to play, there is no scenario where Andy Reid features Williams over him this Sunday in the Super Bowl.
While I would never admit it, Super Bowl betting can become overwhelming. Don’t lose focus on why we’re here in the first place. The goal is to pick the winners and rake in that cash. Sometimes you need to get back to the basics in order to do that. Follow The Odds Factory to stay up to date with all the important news and advice.
