It’s March in the NBA and we’re about ready for a little All-Star break because players and teams are tired after such a fast-paced, condensed schedule.
But you know who isn’t tired?
Our expert, amazing TomBox AI algorithm. Because algorithms don’t get tired. They just keep spitting out picks that make us money. And if you use our free tool every day, those picks can make you money too!
There are six games on the schedule today, including two nationally-televised matchups on TNT. The first of those games, with Kawhi Leonard, Paul George, and the Los Angeles Clippers visiting Jayson Tatum, Jaylen Brown, and the Boston Celtics, is the subject of our player prop picks.
Top Player Prop Picks
Los Angeles Clippers @ Boston Celtics: Kawhi Leonard Over 1.5 Made Three-Pointers (-159)
The Claw has been averaging 2.0 made three-pointers per game this season. So why is the line here so low? Maybe because the closest 0.5 is 1.5 and 2.5 is too high a number? Looking at his last 10 games, his average is exactly the same. 2.0 converted triples per contest. The TomBox sports betting algorithm is projecting 2.6 made threes tonight, so maybe let’s not overthink this and move on.
Los Angeles Clippers @ Boston Celtics: Jayson Tatum Over 25.5 Points (-106)
This bet is generally dependent on Brown’s availability. As of this posting, Brown is questionable with a knee injury for tonight. And the TomBox algorithm doesn’t include him in our projections. As constituted, Tatum is projected to score 30.2 points on 11.3 for 23.2 from the field, easily clearing the current line. We may like his odds either way, but something to take into account.
Top Moneyline Pick
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee ML (-275)
One night after a hard-fought win in Chicago, Denver travels to Wisconsin to take on a better-rested Bucks team that’s 14-4 at Fiserv Forum this season. The TomBox algorithm gives Milwaukee a mile-high 80.4% chance of defeating Denver in this game moneyline and predicts a score of 125.1-114.1 in favor of Giannis & Friends.
Top Spread Pick
Denver Nuggets @ Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee -7 (-105)
Remember that score that the TomBox algorithm projects the Bucks to win that we mentioned like one sentence ago? That 11-point margin is greater than the seven-point spread needed for the Bucks to nail this bet.
Giannis Antetokounmpo is projected to score 30.3 points with 11.4 rebounds and 5.6 assists, besting Nikola Jokić’s anticipated effort of 23.3 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 8.4 assists.
Top Over/Under Pick
Phoenix Suns @ Los Angeles Lakers: Over 213.5 (-110)
This nationally-televised battle between the 2nd and 4th seeds in the Western Conference won’t be as captivating with Anthony Davis still out for the Lakers. And perhaps his absence is keeping this over/under line relatively low here. Another factor? The Lakers are 1st in the league in defensive efficiency, five spots ahead of 6th-ranked Phoenix.
But that’s not stopping the TomBox algorithm from giving this game a 64.5% chance of going over. The Suns are projected to eclipse the Lakers on the road by a 112.3-109.8 count. The over in Phoenix games this season is 20-12, and that’s expected to continue in part thanks to 26.6 points, 8.9 assists, and 7.9 rebounds from LeBron James.
