Our Zach Selwyn has been an impressive 57-45 on the NBA season, but did he go 6-0 in his picks at any point like TomBox’s Monday college hoops picks? That’s a negative.
We’ve got a very full NBA schedule this Wednesday, with 11 games on this trade deadline eve. Our feature game of the night is the second game on ESPN, where a Brooklyn Nets team without Kevin Durant and Kyrie Irving (and maybe James Harden too) will try to take down the league-best Utah Jazz.
Top Player Prop Pick
Brooklyn Nets @ Utah Jazz: Donovan Mitchell Over 26.5 Points (-110)
The Nets generally aren’t good defensively and will be even worse with Irving sitting for what he’s calling a family matter. Brooklyn did hold Damian Lillard to 22 points in a win over Portland on Tuesday. But it won’t be as good against Spida on the second night of a back-to-back. The TomBox algorithm projects Mitchell to score a game-high 29.9 for the Jazz, comfortably clearing the line to gain here.
Top Moneyline Pick
Brooklyn Nets @ Utah Jazz: Utah ML (-500)
The Nets are a deep team and have a really good record against winning teams this season, but to have this many players out against an elite squad on both ends of the court will be too much to overcome. The TomBox algorithm projects Utah to hit 51% of its shots and 16.4 three-pointers to Brooklyn’s 48% and 14.8 triples. Also, the Jazz will have seven players in double-figures in an expected 125.2-113.7 win with a 79.9% chance to win outright.
Obviously, if Harden can’t go, this moneyline is gonna get bigger than -500.
Top Spread Pick
Boston Celtics @ Milwaukee Bucks: Milwaukee -6 (-110)
Like most single people during COVID, the Celtics are slumping. But unless you’re a Boston fan, this isn’t your problem. And even if you are, you can safely bet against them when they’re up against a hot Bucks team. Milwaukee is expected to shoot 50.5% from the field led by Khris Middleton’s game-high 29.2 points. The TomBox sports betting algorithm projects a 121.8-113.3 win for Giannis and company, good enough for the cover. We’re giving this outcome a 61.9% chance of happening.
Top Over/Under Pick
Atlanta Hawks @ Sacramento Kings: Over 231 (-112)
With two of the worst 10-11 defenses in the league and the Kings loving a fast-paced game, we’re expecting some scoring in this one. The TomBox algorithm expects both teams to shoot over 50% from the field, with Trae Young scoring 26.8 points in a 123.3-118.7 win. That’s way over 231, which is why we’re giving the over a 65.2% chance of hitting.