They say that April showers bring May flowers, but we here at The Odds Factory are here to help you make it rain all year-’round. Though there are a few days games on this Sunday, we’re gonna focus on the night games for picks from our TomBox AI algorithm. Hopefully, the Best Picture award tonight goes to you when you look in the mirror and know you won big.
Tonight’s player props come from the biggest game of the evening, with Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Milwaukee Bucks taking on an Atlanta Hawks team without the injured Trae Young.
Top Player Prop Picks
Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 11.5 Rebounds (-139)
Our TomBox estimates are all pretty close to the over/under totals for Giannis tonight, coming super close for points, assists, and points + assists + rebounds. We have the Greek Freak pulling down 10.9 boards against the Hawks tonight, just shy of his line to gain.
Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks: John Collins Over 17.5 Points (-113)
With Young still out with a sprained ankle, someone’s gonna have to pick up the scoring load for the Hawks. And we expect Collins and Bogdan Bogdanović to do most of the heavy lifting, with Collins approaching 20 points to keep Atlanta competitive.
Top Moneyline Pick
Indiana Pacers @ Orlando Magic: Indiana ML (-220)
Orlando has lost four straight and nine of 10. And let’s say they have a lot in common with a current military vehicle right now. But Indiana seems to have a little more gas in its tank right now and is expected to shoot 50.6% from the field here to the Magic’s 44.9. Led by 20.3 points and 5.2 assists from Malcolm Brogdon, the TomBox algorithm projects the moneyline 116.8-107.3 here. We’re giving this result a 71.3% chance.
Top Spread Pick
Sacramento Kings @ Golden State Warriors: Sacramento +7.5 (-110)
While Golden State is going to win this game, both teams are expected to shoot between 49 and 50% from the field with the teams splitting the rebound and turnover edge. The Warriors hitting a projected 4.2 more three-pointers in this one than Sacramento will prove to be the difference. With a 119-116 loss for the Kings, that’ll still have them covering the spread here. TomBox gives this cover a 63.8% chance of hitting.
Top Over/Under Pick
Milwaukee Bucks @ Atlanta Hawks: Over 226.5 (-112)
Finally, the TomBox algorithm expects Milwaukee to shoot 51% from the field with the teams combined for 27.8 made three-pointers. With the Bucks coming away with a projected 119.5-112.5 win, that should give the over some cushion here. We’re giving the over a 61.2% chance here.
