We have just about three weeks left in the NBA regular season. And races for seeding are starting to get serious. But we here at The Odds Factory have been serious all year long in winning money for our loyal, faithful, and smart users with our TomBox AI algorithm. The TomBox algorithm simulates each game thousands of times for the most educated projections and picks so you don’t have to!
Top Moneyline Pick
Milwaukee Bucks @ Charlotte Hornets: Milwaukee ML (-420)
We actually have the Celtics beating the Thunder as more of a sure thing tonight. But that pick is offering virtually no value at -670. This pick isn’t too much better but remains a very safe bet as the NBA TV broadcast tonight. The Milwaukee Bucks are outshooting the Charlotte Hornets 53% to 47%, grabbing 4.4 more rebounds, and committing three fewer turnovers. With a projected final score of 121-107.5, the Bucks have a 79.2% chance of winning here.
Top Spread Pick
Minnesota Timberwolves @ Houston Rockets: Houston +1.5 (-107)
This may sound crazy, but someone actually has to win this battle of the teams with the NBA’s two worst records. Even with John Wall out for the season due to tanking an injury, Houston is expected to shoot a better percentage and hit two more three-pointers. Led by 27.2 points from Christian Wood, the Rockets will not only cover the 1.5 but win outright at home 119.8-117.7. The TomBox algorithm gives this result a 64.1% chance.
Top Over/Under Pick
Brooklyn Nets @ Toronto Raptors: Over 232.5 (+102)
Both these teams play at an above-average pace, with Brooklyn getting some extra firepower with Kevin Durant in the lineup tonight. We expect them to shoot 50.6% from the field to Toronto’s 47%, with the teams combined to hit 30.7 three-pointers. Led by Kyrie Irving’s 30.5 points, the Nets are projected to get a 122.1-115.8 win. So that puts it comfortably over the 232.5. The TomBox algorithm gives the over a 60% chance.
