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SMART MONEY NFL PICKS FOR 10/30/2020

NFL Week 8 - Davante Adams vs. Holton Hill - Green Bay Packers vs. Minnesota Vikings

The Seahawks blowing a fourth-quarter lead against the Cardinals prevented us from another perfect week, leaving me 2-1 with my picks. For the season, my record stands at 17-4. Let’s dive into the Week 8 schedule for the NFL and highlight three wagers to consider. As usual, I’ll pick one moneyline, one spread, and one over/under wager. All odds were obtained from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

TENNESSEE TITANS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS: TITANS ML (-245)

Just when it looked like the Bengals were going to win at home against the Browns in Week 7, Baker Mayfield snatched victory from the jaws of defeat to make the Browns 2-0 against the Bengals this season. The Bengals are now an unsightly 1-5-1 with their only win coming over the lowly Jaguars. On the bright side, they have played in a lot of close contests, and rookie quarterback Joe Burrow looks like the real deal.

The Bengals and Titans are basically at the opposite ends of the spectrum right now. The Titans are 5-1 with their only loss coming against the Steelers last week. They mounted a late comeback to make things close, scoring 17 unanswered points to end the game. However, they still fell by the score of 27-24. Now they find themselves in a great opportunity to bounce back with a win against a far inferior foe. The Titans’ struggling defense and the excellent play of Burrow make me a little nervous taking the Titans to cover the spread, so I’ll take the moneyline instead.

GREEN BAY PACKERS VS. MINNESOTA VIKINGS: PACKERS -6 (-110)

The Packers bounced back from a loss to the Bucs in a big way Sunday against the Texans. Aaron Rodgers finished with four touchdown passes, and the Texans had no answer for Davante Adams, who caught 13 passes for 196 yards and two touchdowns. He was a thorn in the side of the Vikings when these two teams met in Week 1, finishing with 14 catches for 156 yards and two scores. Given that the Vikings have allowed the fourth-most passing yards per game in the NFL, Adams could be in line for another monster stat line in Week 8.

While the Packers sit atop the NFC North at 5-1, the Vikings are in the basement of the division at 1-5. Of their five losses, three of them came by at least nine points. That included losing to the Packers by nine points in Week 1 and the lowly Falcons by 17 points in their last game. Even with the injured Dalvin Cook looking like he’ll make his return for the Vikings, the duo of Rodgers and Adams have an excellent opportunity to help the Packers cover this spread.

LAS VEGAS RAIDERS @ CLEVELAND BROWNS: RAIDERS OVER 23.5 POINTS (-125)

Don’t look now, but the Raiders sit just outside the top-10 in the league in terms of most points scored per game with an average of 28.5. Derek Carr has been one of the main reasons for their surging offense, throwing 13 touchdown passes through six games. To put that into perspective, he had 21 touchdowns passes across 16 games last season. In fact, he’s on pace to throw at least 30 touchdown passes in a season for only the second time in his career.

This is a great spot for Carr and the Raiders to keep their offense rolling against the Browns, who have averaged the third-most passing yards allowed per game. They have allowed at least 24 points in five of their seven contests this season and an average of 31.6 points per game, overall. The Raiders defense has also struggled, allowing 32.8 points per contest. As a result of two struggling defenses taking the field, this has the makings of a high-scoring affair that could lead to the Raiders hitting the over with relative ease.

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SMART MONEY NFL WEEK 9 PICKS FOR 11/6/2020 - Oddsfactory November 6, 2020 at 11:30 am

[…] say last week didn’t go well would be an understatement. I went 0-3 with my recommendations, dropping by season record to 17-7. I’m ready to bounce back for Week 9 of the NFL with three […]

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