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SMART MONEY NFL PICKS FOR 10/23/2020

NFL Week 7: Patrick Mahomes vs. Von Miller - Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos

We ran the table again last week since I went 3-0 with my recommendations. For the season, my record now sits at 15-3. Let’s try and keep the heater going with three more wagers to consider for Week 7 of the NFL. As per usual, I’ll pick one moneyline, one spread, and one over/under wager. All odds were obtained from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS: SEAHAWKS ML (-177)

The Seahawks are one of three remaining undefeated teams in the NFL as of Week 7. With that being said, their initial schedule has been kind to them. Three of their wins have come against the Falcons, Cowboys, and Vikings, who are a combined 4-14. Another win came against a Dolphins team that isn’t anything to write home about, either. Still, you can only beat who’s on your schedule, so at least the Seahawks have handled business against inferior foes.

This will be a tough test for them against the Cardinals, who enter this contest at 4-2 and with Kyler Murray doing plenty of damage. He already has 16 total touchdowns this season and could carve up the Seahawks’ suspect defense. However, slowing down Russell Wilson will be a tall order for the Cardinals. The Seahawks also have a significant advantage as they are coming off of a bye while the Cardinals had to play Monday night. While this game could be close, I like the Seahawks to emerge victorious.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ DENVER BRONCOS: CHIEFS -9.5 (-110)

The Chiefs rebounded from their first loss of the season in just about the best way possible, defeating the Bills on the road 26-17. It’s still early, but they have already pulled off impressive road victories over both the Bills and the Ravens, who are a combined 9-3 this season. There’s no question that the Chiefs are among the best teams in the league. And they strengthened their case to repeat as champions by adding Le’Veon Bell to their backfield. Although he wasn’t ready in time to play against the Bills, he could be in line for at least a limited role in this contest.

As far as strange wins go, the Broncos certainly pulled one off last week against the Patriots, winning 18-12 on six field goals. Drew Lock struggled in his first game back from a shoulder injury, completing 10 of 24 passes for 189 yards and two interceptions. Regardless of who has been under center, the Broncos have struggled offensively, averaging only 20 points per game. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have averaged 29.2 points per contest. On top of that, their defense has only allowed an average of 21.2 points a game. This is a big line, but I don’t think that the Broncos’ offense can keep up with Patrick Mahomes. So I’ll take the Chiefs to cover.

CINCINNATI BENGALS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS: BENGALS OVER 23.5 POINTS (-130)

What a disappointing loss last week for the Bengals. They raced out to a 21-0 lead over the Colts but ultimately lost 31-27. Joe Burrow once again failed to throw a touchdown pass, marking the third time in six games that he has failed to do so. However, he did record a rushing touchdown in two of those contests. He has also thrown for at least 300 yards in four of the last five games. So he clearly hasn’t been overmatched during his rookie season.

The reason why I like the over here is that the Browns’ defense has been among the worst in the league, allowing an average of 31.2 points per game. The only two games in which they failed to allow at least 24 points in a game this season came against the Colts and Washington. They just missed the threshold by allowing 23 points to the Colts. And Washington still managed to score 20 points, which is noteworthy considering that they’ve averaged the third-fewest points per game. When the Bengals faced the Browns in Week 2, they exploded for 30 points. Look for the Bengals to thrive in their rematch, as well.

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2 comments

SMART MONEY NFL WEEK 8 PICKS FOR 10/30/2020 - Oddsfactory October 30, 2020 at 12:00 pm

[…] lead against the Cardinals prevented us from another perfect week, leaving me 2-1 with my picks. For the season, my record stands at 17-4. Let’s dive into the Week 8 schedule for the NFL and […]

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SMART MONEY NFL WEEK 9 PICKS FOR 11/6/2020 - Oddsfactory November 6, 2020 at 11:40 am

[…] well would be an understatement. I went 0-3 with my recommendations, dropping by season record to 17-7. I’m ready to bounce back for Week 9 of the NFL with three more wagers to consider. As always, […]

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