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SUPER BOWL 54 BETTING HISTORY

History of Super Bowl Betting: Super Bowl XL - Media Day

1280x184 William Hill - Hockey

THE HISTORY OF SUPER BOWL BETTING

As we head into the big game it makes sense to look back at betting history of the National Holiday that is THE SUPER BOWL.

AGAINST THE SPREAD

Favorites are 28-23-2 against the spread. Early Super Bowls were dominated by the favorites going 21-9 in the first 30 titanic tilts, but the dogs have been doing the barking in the 2000s with the fav going a dismal 6-13-1 against the spread.

Double-digit favorites are 6-6 and the biggest upset in Super Bowl History was the Jets shocker over the Colts in Super Bowl III. Joe Namath and Gang Green headed into the bowl as 18-point dogs and rolled out as 16-7 winners.

Joe Namath - Super Bowl
Joe Namath – Super Bowl III Winner

The Patriots who have been to a record 11 Super Bowls were the 2nd biggest dogs to win the big one, upsetting “The Greatest Show on Turf” Rams as a 14-point underdog.

OVER/UNDERS

On the totals side of the betting docket, Overs are ahead 28-24 (there was no over/under in Super Bowl I). Early Super Bowls were dominated by unders going 7-1 in the first eight, in a series of snoozefests, the worst being the Blunder Bowl, a turgid affair between the Colts and Cowboys, in a game that featured 11 turnovers and 5 fumbles in the 4th quarter. The game mercilessly ended 16-13, when Colts kicker Jim O’Brien nailed the game-winner as time expired.

Overs have turned the trend around lately, holding a 6-1 advantage over unders in the past seven title matches.

The highest-scoring Super Bowl was the 49ers’ romp over the Chargers 49-26, the game in which Steve Young finally got the monkey off his back.

BOOKIES TAKE A BEATING

The worst day for bookies in the history of Super Bowls was Black Sunday in 1979, a game between the Steel Curtain Pittsburgh Steelers and America’s team, the Dallas Cowboys. The line opened up at Steelers -5. Money came flowing in from everywhere on Dallas, and they bet the line down to 3. When the line hit 3, Pittsburgh money surged in, and the final line was Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5.

The final score was 35-31, leaving the Dallas bettors who got the 5-point early line winning and the Steelers bettors who got in late at 3 and 3 ½ winners, and the bookies taking their worst Super Bowl beating ever.

BETTORS TAKE A BEATING

The worst beat in Super Bowl history had to be the first half of the Super Bowl XL, between the Steelers and the Cardinals. The first-half line was Cardinals +3, and with 18 seconds left, the Cards had the ball on the Steelers’ 2-yard line. The worst-case scenario for Cards backers was a push, but a TD or an easy FG would give them the victory. Unfortunately, James Harrison picked off a pass and rambled down the sidelines 100 yards, surviving a late Larry Fitzgerald goal-line tackle and a long review to score the TD and send Cards fans wanting to do a face plant into a bowl of guacamole.

A LOOK BACK

Below is the history of every Super Bowl, the line and the over/under.

SB Final Score Spread (Total) Betting Results AFC/NFC SU/ATS
LIII (Feb 3, 2019) New England 13, Los Angeles 3 NE -2.5 (55.5) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
LII (Feb 4, 2018) Philadelphia 41, New England 33 NE -4.5 (49) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
LI (Feb 5, 2017) New England 34, Atlanta 28 NE -3 (57.5) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
L (Feb 7, 2016) Denver 24, Carolina 10 Car -4.5 (43) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XLIX (Feb 1, 2015) New England 28, Seattle 24 Sea -1 (47.5) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XLVIII (Feb 2, 2014) Seattle 43, Denver 8 Den -2 (47.5) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XLVII (Feb 3, 2013) Baltimore 34, San Francisco 31 SF -4.5 (48) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XLVI (Feb 5, 2012) N.Y. Giants 21, New England 17 NE -2.5 (53) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XLV (Feb 6 2011) Green Bay 31, Pittsburgh 25 GB -3 (45) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XLIV (Feb 7, 2010) New Orleans 31, Indianapolis 17 IND -5 (57) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XLIII (Feb 1, 2009) Pittsburgh 27, Arizona 23 PIT -7 (46) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU ONLY
XLII (Feb 3, 2008) N.Y. Giants 17, New England 14 NE -12 (55) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XLI (Feb 4, 2007) Indianapolis 29, Chicago 17 IND -7 (47) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XL (Feb 5, 2006) Pittsburgh 21, Seattle 10 PIT -4 (47) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XXIX (Feb 6, 2005) New England 24, Philadelphia 21 NE -7 (46.5) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU ONLY
XXXVIII (Feb 1, 2004) New England 32, Carolina 29 NE -7 (37.5) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU ONLY
XXXVII (Jan 26, 2003) Tampa Bay 48, Oakland 21 OAK -4 (44) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXXVI (Feb 3, 2002) New England 20, St. Louis 17 STL -14 (53) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXV (Jan 28, 2001) Baltimore 34, N.Y. Giants 7 BAL -3 (33) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXIV (Jan 30, 2000) St. Louis 23, Tennessee 16 STL -7 (45) Push (UNDER) NFC SU ONLY (P)
XXXIII (Jan 31, 1999) Denver 34, Atlanta 19 DEN -7.5 (52.5) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXII (Jan 25, 1998) Denver 31, Green Bay 24 GB -11 (49) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XXXI (Jan 26, 1997) Green Bay 35, New England 21 GB -14 (49) Push (OVER) NFC SU ONLY (P)
XXX (Jan 28, 1996) Dallas 27, Pittsburgh 17 DAL -13.5 (51) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU ONLY
XXIX (Jan 29, 1995) San Francisco 49, San Diego 26 SF -18.5 (53.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXVIII (Jan 30, 1994) Dallas 30, Buffalo 13 DAL -10.5 (50.5) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XXVII (Jan 31, 1993) Dallas 52, Buffalo 17 DAL -6.5 (44.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXVI (Jan 26, 1992) Washington 37, Buffalo 24 WAS -7 (49) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXV (Jan 27, 1991) N.Y. Giants 20, Buffalo 19 BUF -7 (40.5) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XXIV (Jan 28, 1990) San Francisco 55, Denver 10 SF -12 (48) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXIII (Jan 22, 1989) San Francisco 20, Cincinnati 16 SF -7 (48) Underdog (UNDER) NFC SU ONLY
XXII (Jan 31, 1988) Washington 42, Denver 10 DEN -3 (47) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XXI (Jan 25, 1987) N.Y. Giants 39, Denver 20 NYG -9.5 (40) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XX (Jan 26, 1986) Chicago 46, New England 10 CHI -10 (37.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XIX (Jan 20, 1985) San Francisco 38, Miami 16 SF -3.5 (53.5) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XVIII (Jan 22, 1984) L.A. Raiders 38, Washington 9 WAS -3 (48) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XVII (Jan 30, 1983) Washington 27, Miami 17 MIA -3 (36.5) Underdog (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
XVI (Jan 24, 1982) San Francisco 26, Cincinnati 21 SF -1 (48) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XV (Jan 25, 1981) Oakland 27, Philadelphia 10 PHI -3 (37.5) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
XIV (Jan 20, 1980) Pittsburgh 31, L.A. Rams 19 PIT -10.5 (36) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XIII (Jan 21, 1979) Pittsburgh 35, Dallas 31 PIT -3.5 (37) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
XII (Jan 15, 1978) Dallas 27, Denver 10 DAL -6 (39) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
XI (Jan 9, 1977) Oakland 34, Minnesota 14 OAK -4 (38) Favorite (OVER) AFC SU & ATS
X (Jan 18, 1976) Pittsburgh 21, Dallas 17 PIT -7 (36) Underdog (OVER) AFC SU ONLY
IX (Jan 12, 1975) Pittsburgh 16, Minnesota 6 PIT -3 (33) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
VIII (Jan 13, 1974) Miami 24, Minnesota 7 MIA -6.5 (33) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
VII (Jan 14, 1973) Miami 14, Washington 7 MIA -1 (33) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
VI (Jan 16, 1972) Dallas 24, Miami 3 DAL -6 (34) Favorite (UNDER) NFC SU & ATS
V (Jan 17 1971) Baltimore 16, Dallas 13 BAL -2.5 (36) Favorite (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
IV (Jan 11, 1970) Kansas City 23, Minnesota 7 MIN -12 (39) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
III (Jan 12, 1969) N.Y. Jets 16, Baltimore 7 BAL-18 (40) Underdog (UNDER) AFC SU & ATS
II (Jan 14, 1968) Green Bay 33, Oakland 14 GB -13.5 (43) Favorite (OVER) NFC SU & ATS
I (Jan 15, 1967) Green Bay 35, Kansas City 10 GB -14

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